Iraq withdrawal versus Iran’s growing influence; the drone factor! The effect on Israel’s flight path to Iran…

16 Dec

There are many implications to United States withdrawal from Iraq. Iran, of course, is very pleased. There are many reasons why Iran welcomes the move, not the least of which is the elimination of one flight path from Israel to its nuclear facilities…

If Iran did in indeed use electronic, or electro-magnetic device, in order to guide the American drone to land in Iranian territory, the United States and its [regional] allies has reason for serious concern. The drone incident caught the United States by surprise, and the President did not act in a most prudent manner in dealing with the situation.

United States Middle East policy is inept, it is based on lack of understanding, and it does not include commitment to allies. For example, in spite of Congressional approval, the United States Embassy in Israel has not been moved to Jerusalem, a sore spot with the Israelis. 

The prevailing policy is allowing Iran to increase its influence, its footprint in the region, if you will. So far, in the numerous virtual confrontations Ahmadinejad had with the American Administration, the Iranian seems to have had the upper hand in most, not a situation that makes United States allies comfortable.

The above situation, which is happening while Iran is increasing its presence and influence in Iraq, and as the United States is moving its combat troops out of Iraq, could be a signal for alarming things to come. Before the United States took out Sadam Hussein, the Iraqi dictator was hated by his neighbors, but also respected by the Arab world because he appeared to be able to stand up the United States, the infidel Satan of the West. Ahmadinejad is presently in a similar situation that Sadam Hussein was in before President George W. Bush decided to remove him from power. The major difference is that Barak Hussein Obama is not George W. Bush.

There is little or no doubt that Ahmadinejad and the Iranian Ayatollahs are interested in controlling the Islamic world. The Iranians have two significant issues to resolve: 1. Iranian are not Arabs, they are rather Aryans, not Semites 2. Iran has a majority Shii population while 80% of Muslims are Sunni Since Iraq, a Shii Arab country, is Iran’s close neighbor in whom it (Iran) already has significant economic influence, the drone and US departure from Iraq represent an excellent opportunity to Ahmadinejad.

Timing is also important for Iran because Assad, one of its clients, may well be replaced by a democracy that will reduce Iran’s influence in the Middle East. Since Iran has influence in Lebanon, through Hizbollah (via Syria,) and Gaza, perhaps all of “Palestine,” (via Hamas,) the loss of Syria would be significant, but getting Iraq as a replacement may make up for at least some of the loss.

El Malaki is already in large part in Ahmadinejad’s corner, and under his influence. The fact that Iraq could be in the flight path from Israel to Iran’s nuclear operation, and that the United States will not have control of Iraq’s airspace, as also helpful for Iran’s time-table to Middle East and Muslim world dominance.

The complete withdrawal from Iran, I must agree with Senator McCain, may well be too soon. But what is done is done, and timing may be everything. The timing of downing the drone could also have been to fit some plan that the Iranians hatched.

One Response to “Iraq withdrawal versus Iran’s growing influence; the drone factor! The effect on Israel’s flight path to Iran…”

  1. Lanette Konderla January 9, 2012 at 7:39 am #

    I enjoy your writing style genuinely enjoying this web site. “The aim of education is the knowledge not of fact, but of values.” by William Ralph Inge.

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